Simulating Continuous Fuzzy Systems I

ABSTRACT

In previous studies we first concentrated on utilizing crisp simulation to produce discrete event fuzzy systems simulations. Then we extended this research to the simulation of continuous fuzzy systems models. In this paper we continue our study of continuous fuzzy systems using crisp continuous simulation. Consider a crisp continuous system whose evolution depends on differential equations. Such a system contains a number of parameters that must be estimated. Usually point estimates are computed and used in the model. However these point estimates typically have uncertainty associated with them. We propose to incorporate uncertainty by using fuzzy numbers as estimates of these unknown parameters. Fuzzy parameters convert the crisp system into a fuzzy system. Trajectories describing the behavior of the system become fuzzy curves. We will employ crisp continuous simulation to estimate these fuzzy trajectories. Three examples are discussed.

Key Words:

Fuzzy systems, Fuzzy differential equations, Simulation, Uncertainty